Wednesday, November 17, 2010

1998: What If?

 
I might dwell in the past too much, but after a loss like Monday night's 59-28 drubbing I think it's fun to wonder how things might have been different if the Cooke family had retained control of the Redskins in 1998 and Daniel Snyder stayed far, far away.

It's well documented that Jack Kent Cooke allowed the Redskins to be auctioned off so he could free up money for the Jack Kent Cooke foundation. His son, John Kent Cooke's big of approximately $750 million just wasn't enough to edge out Snyder who bested him by $50 million dollars. We can't be sure of how John would have run the team, but we can be confident in a couple things:

1.) The Redskins would not have fired Norv Turner when they did.

Last year, John Kent Cooke said: "We were rebuilding the club with Norv Turner. You talk about continuity, but it's not just continuity, it's patience. You got to give a guy a chance. And the mistake that Snyder made is that he got rid of Norv too soon."

Now, Norv Turner isn't great, he's bounced around the league quite a bit, but he's a respected football man who's been head coach of three different teams. In addition, he's the last coach of the Redskins to last more than 4 seasons. He would have given us continuity and been a decent choice to manage a rebuilding project.

2.) Charlie Casserly would have remained General Manager.

Casserly was replaced by some unholy combination of Vinny Cerrato and Dan Snyder himself. After his dismissal, Charlie Casserly was selected to run the expansion Houston Texans. The man had made some mistakes with high draft picks, but Casserly was a veteran personnel man who was helping to rebuild the Redskins. He had gotten Trent Green as a backup, drafted Stephen Davis, signed Terry Allen, signed Ken Harvey, etc.

He was a real general manager who would have been working with a patient new owner managing a rebuilding project. The next year he would work the draft masterfully getting Champ Bailey and Jon Jansen with his first two picks. He may or may not have still drafted Chris Samuels in 2000 although it's likely because Samuels was the consensus pick for top offensive tackle, which we badly needed. It's quite possible we would have had Casserly working with this excellent young base of talent instead of Snyder and Cerrato who obviously had no idea how to build a successful franchise.

3.) Trent Green would have stayed in Washington.

In 1998, the Redskins went 6-10 but there was some cause for optimism. Quarterback Trent Green had worked his way up the depth chart and assumed the starting job. He threw for 3,441 yards, 23 touchdowns and just 11 interceptions. At 28, he was still young, and had three year's experience in Turner's system.  It seemed we had a possible franchise quarterback on our hands.

After the 1998 season the Redskins were undergoing an upheaval and possible ownership change. They offered Trent Green a 4 year 12 million dollar contract. Green signed with St. Louis for just 4.5 million more. If the Redskins had remained under control of the Cooke family, it's likely they would have been able to match that offer. It didn't work out well for the Rams but Green blossomed into an elite quarterback, and two time pro bowler with the Kansas City Chiefs.

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The Redskins would likely have opened 1999 with Green at quarterback surrounded by players like Brian Mitchell, Stephen Davis, Larry Centers, Steven Alexander, Albert Connel, Michael Westbrook, Brad Badger, Tre' Johnson, Andy Heck, Keith Simms, Cory Raymer, Kenard Lang, Dan Wilkinson, Dana Stubblefield, Derek Smith, Marvcus Patton, Darrell Green, Chris Dishman, Champ Bailey... we even had a pro-bowl punter and a future all pro kicker on the roster. That was a good combination of youth and experience and a fine foundation to build on.

We don't know how much better John Kent Cooke, Charlie Casserly, Norv Turner, and Trent Green could have made this franchise, but I don't think there's much doubt it would have been in better hands.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Shanahan the personnel man

I am sick of hearing about the McNabb situation, and I am hoping the team moves past it with a winning record in the second half, so I want to try to stay positive and talk about something else. Enjoy.


The knock on Mike Shanahan was that in Denver, he wasn't able to successfully juggle coaching and personnel duties. Looking back on his track record in Denver, I am not entirely sure that's fair. Now, in Washington he has a real General Manager in Bruce Allen who's strong suit appears to be contract negotiation (and lately, public relations) it's safe to say that Coach Shanahan still has a big say in acquiring players, and I don't see a problem with that. In his last 5 years as the head football guy in Denver they went 47-33 with two trips to the playoffs (including the AFC Championship game in '05). They were a very competitive team, let's look at his drafts from that time period (2004-2008)

2004

Linebacker D.J. Williams was their first pick at 17th overall. He never made the pro-bowl but he was an excellent player in Denver. DE Will Smith, was selected right after him, RB Steven Jackson was picked a few spots later down but it's hard to argue with Williams there.

Tatum Bell was picked in the second round and had a couple really good seasons in Denver including one for over 1,000 yards.

Not a lot else there for Denver, but it was a weak draft overall once you got out of the first round and going down pick by pick it's hard to see one where they really missed on a guy who could help them.

2005

CB Darrent Williams was their top pick here, and he was senselessly murdered on New Year's day in 2007. He was on his way to becoming a solid NFL corner though. After that Shanahan selected two more defensive backs trying to rebuild a depleted secondary. Both his selections, Karl Paymah and Domonique Foxworth are decent players who are still in the league and have over 70 games a piece since being drafted.

He gambled on Maurice Clarett in the third round of this draft. Many consider it to be a major reach based on Clarett being out of football for a year and his lack of maturity, and perhaps it was, but Clarett had shown tons of promise at Ohio State. With three third round picks, and no selections until the 6th round Shanahan went for it and took a guy he felt he could mold into a star. Unfortunately the experiment failed terribly and Clarett lacked the maturity, discipline and common sense to make it in the NFL.

Finally, though is didn't stay in Denver long, Shanny drafted Center Chris Myers in the 6th round who went on to be an everyday starter for Denver and later the Texans.

2006

Jay Cutler was the first pick for Denver. The Shanahan-Cutler marriage was broken up after only 3 seasons once Shanahan was fired in Denver but Cutler was a Pro-Bowl player during that time with two outstanding seasons as a starter. It was an excellent pick, and under Shanahan's guidance it's likely Cutler's career would have progressed much differently.

In the second round he drafted TE Tony Scheffler who was a standout player for years in Denver before signing with Detroit and landing a big extension.

Brandon Marshall was selected in the 4th round and soon became one of the NFL's elite young wideouts.

Also in the 4th round was DE/LB Elvis Dumerville who developed into an elite pass rusher.

Last but not least, G Chris Kuper was drafted in the 5th round. He's been a standout player on Denver's offensive line ever since.

2007

The Broncos were severely limited in picks for the 2007 draft which was mostly weak anyway. DE Jarvis Moss was a bust, but they also got DE Tim Crowder who developed into a starter for Denver and later the Buccaneers. Ryan Harris was selected in the 3rd round and despite struggling through injuries is a fine RT. Lastly, Marcus Thomas was selected in the 4th round, and while not a regular starter, he has appeared in every game since he was drafted.

2008

2006 was an excellent draft for Denver, but 2008 might rival it. They selected an elite LT in Ryan Clady with their first pick. In the second they got WR Eddie Royal who has been a star for the Broncos. C/G Kory Lichtensteiger was picked in the 4th round and we all know he went on to start for the Redskins. Ryan Torain was picked in the 6th round and has shown a lot of promise. FB Spencer Larsen was picked in the 6th round and still starts for the Broncos but perhaps the best of all was 7th rounder RB Peyton Hillis. Shanahan's predecessor foolishly dumped Hillis to Cleveland last season but Hillis has been a star for the Browns with several 100 yard games as well as being a huge weapon in the passing game.

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It's a very solid draft history his last 5 years in Denver, and that's only part of it. He was also the guy who traded Clinton Portis for Champ Bailey and a second round pick (a veritable steal!). He also burned the Redskins again on the Ashley Lelie and Jason Campbell trades. He traded WR Javon Walker for a second round pick, signed K Matt Prater, signed S John Lynch signed WR Rod Smith as an undrafted free agent... etc. etc. the list goes on. I'd say Shanahan's record as GM is pretty good. (Especially when compared to the Redskins!) With a real GM to make the personnel moves based on Shanny's input, he ought to be able to focus on what he does best: coaching! It seems to me that's good news for Skins fans!

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Keeping up with the Jerry Jones'


The Cowboys just fired Wade Phillips and promoted Offensive Coordinator Jason Garrett to Head Coach, making him just the 8th coach in Cowboys history. That little stat gave me pause. It forced me to realize that the Redskins have had 7 Head Coaches since 1999.

Could the Dallas Cowboys, that Texas twister of dysfunction and drama possibly be better run with more consistency than the Redskins?

Well, not really. The Cowboys got really lucky with Landry leading them for 30 years. Also, if you go back to 1999 again, they've had 5 coaches in the last 11 years. Also, during that time the Skins have had 11 starting quarterbacks where the Cowboys have started 14 different guys at QB. Comparing franchise instability with the Cowboys is a little like arguing over who's mama is fatter, it's not really a big victory to win that argument.

The Cowgirls have a new (interim) coach in Jason "Red Jesus" Garrett, and we all better hope he (or someone else) doesn't right his ship before Mike Shanahan can.

Thursday, November 4, 2010

Hogs do it in the trenches...



Every smart football fan knows the building block to a successful offense is the offensive line. That was one of the reasons I was so excited as a Redskins fan when Mike Shanahan was named our head coach. In Denver he created very good offensive lines who, through the use of zone blocking schemes were quick, strong and agile. Shanahan had lines featuring LT Gary Zimmerman (7 Pro Bowls), Former Hog LG Mark Schlereth (2 Pro Bowls) and C Tom Nalen (5). He also built lines with other dependable players such as Cooper Carlisle, Ben Hamilton, Matt Lepsis, Dan Neil, and he drafted players in recent years like Ryan Clady, Ryan Harris and Chris Kuper.

The Redskins on the other had have largely ignored the offensive line. Chris Samuels and Jon Jansen were brilliant bookend tackles, but the interior line has largely been a rotating door. Randy Thomas was moderately effective for a few years. Pete Kendall was kind of a band aid. Jason Fabini, Todd Wade, etc. etc. Not to mention the fact that when the Redskins drafted Trent Williams he was the first offensive lineman they had drafted in either the first or the second round in ten years.

I didn't expect for Mike Shanahan to fix this unit in one off-season, but the fact remains the line is awful right now, and McNabb has no more time than Jason Campbell did to get set and throw. So how are the Redskins going to set themselves up for the future?

LEFT TACKLE


Trent Williams is agile, hostile and mobile. All the things you look for in a tackle you can build around. He'd built a rep in college as being a guy with poor weight room habits, but that hasn't been a problem in his pro career. He's held his own against some of the game's elite pass rushers after getting his feet held to the fire in his first season as a pro. Williams has had a couple injuries and has had a couple growing pains in trying to take his game to the next level, but we appear all set at LT. Hopefully he can lock down this spot for 10 years, which is what every franchise hopes for when they spend a 4th overall pick on a guy.

LEFT GUARD

The play the Redskins have gotten from their left guards this season has ranged from average to miserable. Derrick Dockery was once one of the highest paid guards in the league and has played in every game of his professional career (he started in all but three.) By all accounts he's a decent offensive lineman (Buffalo cut him due to cap space, nothing more) but he's a big man, and is apparently a poor fit for Shanahan's zone blocking scheme (ZBS). He's been replaced by Kory Lichtensteiger, who Shanahan drafted while coaching in Denver. Lichtensteiger has the correct body type for zone blocking, but his play has been a real weak spot on the line. This is definitely a place where the Skins need to spend resources in the coming off-season.

CENTER

Center is usually a leadership position on the line, and the Skins certainly get that with Rabach. He makes all the calls for the rest of the o-line and he seems to be a respected leader of this team. The problem is, his ability. Rabach seems to have lost a step. Perhaps it's in some part due to the weaknesses at both guard position, but Casey Rabach has not looked good out there. He's 33 years old, but I would expect to see him back next season. According to his scouting report on ESPN.com he has all the skills for the ZBS. "[Rabach] possesses very good first-step quickness and takes excellent angles in the run game." "He is quick at getting to the second level. He shows the ability to adjust to moving targets on the move." and "He shows excellent awareness in pass protection." We will definitely need to upgrade this position sooner, rather than later, but Rabach is a solid player on the line who's started all but one game in the last 6 years.

RIGHT GUARD

I'm going to resist making a bad joke about deodorant here. But Artis Hicks stinks! (Doh!) Seriously though, it's not Art's fault, he's not really built for this. He's a tweener tackle/guard and he hasn't played regularly since 2006. He's a reserve player thrust into a starting role where he shouldn't be in the first place. This is a position that was largely ignored when Shanahan came in. Did he expect Big Mike Williams (BMW) to be the everyday guard? The Coach gave Williams one of the first contract extensions of his tenure to Williams after reviewing game film, so it's possible. Unfortunately blood clots discovered near his heart kept BMW out for the season.

RIGHT TACKLE

Washington gave up either a 3rd or a 4th round pick in 2011 for Brown (depending on which is left after the McNabb trade is completed) and that's a fairly good investment to put in a player. I would say re-signing Brown is a priority, but he's not been terribly effective this season. He's playing through injury and is a former two time pro-bowl left tackle. The switch to the right side is more difficult than you might expect because the footwork is completely backwards. Still, Brown seems to be a good fit in the ZBS. His scouting report claims: "[Brown] is a good-sized tackle with excellent balance, body control and athleticism" and that "He can kick step out to pick up the speed rusher off the edge and still react and adjust to react to counter moves." After spending a decent pick on him, I'd like to see him re-signed to see what he can do healthy. After all, he's only 30.

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Washington has two young practice squad players they drafted this last April in Selvish Capers and Erik Cook. They also have young swing tackle Stephon Heyer and Will Montgomery who started 3 games for us last year. Other than that, there's little depth on the line. Something that with the physical nature of the position needs to be there in the event of injury. The free agency situation is uncertain, as are possible off-season cuts with no salary cap in place at this time. The team has other needs but offensive line should be the primary target. With a 1st and a 2nd round pick (for now) available to us in 2011 I hope that Shanahan and Allen use one, or both on a re-incarnation of the hogs.

Monday, November 1, 2010

The "Franchise"



Every year I buy into the Redskins. I remember thinking Turner/Johnson, Spurrier/Ramsey, Gibbs/Campbell would all lead us to the promised land. Every season I bought into the Redskins plans, and every year, about halfway through I realised I've been duped.

Despite all that, I thought this season would be different. I truly believed in Shanahan and McNabb.

Up until the Halloween game against the Lions things were progressing smoothly. I didn't expect the Redskins to be much better than 7-9 in 2010 but it looked like Shanahan was restoring credibility to the Redskins, credibility they've been lacking since Gibbs first left. It looked like the players believed in him, and he brought on board a 6 time Pro Bowler who's won 92 football games as a starting quarterback. Donovan McNabb.

Even with a loss to the Detroit Lions the Skins could survive. They'd go into the bye and regroup. They could rally behind their "Franchise" quarterback and experienced coach and find a way to beat the Eagles in week 10. Except Shanahan did the ONE thing that could make the loss to Detroit even worse. He benched Donovan McNabb in favor of his backup Rex Grossman. A perfectly healthy McNabb was left grimacing on the sidelines while Grossman fumbled away any possible chance of a victory. Coach Shanahan claimed he was concerned about McNabb's level of fitness. The same McNabb who's just played over 58 minutes of football without incident and who led the team in rushing. He said Grossman had a better grasp of the hurry up offense... despite the fact that he had not played this season, and has been a Redskins for a shorter time than McNabb.

He did the one thing that could create controversy going into the bye, the one thing that could undermine the player's confidence in him... and in McNabb, Mike Shanahan did the one thing that could undo the goodwill created by he and General Manager Bruce Allen.

Mike Shanahan panicked with two minutes to go and the game on the line and made a terrible decision.

Now the Redskins have two weeks to find a way to fix it.